Anchor Point

six-week outlook

1. Sep 27 – Oct 34.8 ftBelow normal
2. Oct 4–103.7 ftWell below normal
3. Oct 11–174.7 ftNear normal
4. Oct 18–245.2 ftBelow normal
5. Oct 25–315.3 ftNear normal
6. Nov 1–75.5 ftBelow normal

Weekly averages from the ECMWF 46-day ensemble, judged against 10 years of this break's own history — past 16 days no model resolves individual days, so these are week-scale leanings, not a daily forecast.