Leo Carrillo

six-week outlook

1. Sep 28 – Oct 43.6 ftAbove normal
2. Oct 5–113.6 ftAbove normal
3. Oct 12–184.0 ftWell above normal
4. Oct 19–253.9 ftWell above normal
5. Oct 26 – Nov 13.8 ftWell above normal
6. Nov 2–83.9 ftWell above normal

Weekly averages from the ECMWF 46-day ensemble, judged against 10 years of this break's own history — past 16 days no model resolves individual days, so these are week-scale leanings, not a daily forecast.